Seasonalities in China's Stock Markets

Seasonalities in China's Stock Markets

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In this paper, we examine returns in the Chinese A and B stock markets for evidence of calendar anomalies. We find that both cultural and structural (segmentation) factors play an important role in influencing the pricing of both A- and B-shares in China. There is some evidence of a February turn-of-the-year effect, partly owing to the timing of the Chinese Lunar New Year (CNY); and the holiday effect around the CNY period is stronger and more persistent compared with the other public holidays. The segmentation between the two markets is apparent in the day-of-the-week effect, where B stock markets tend to post significant negative returns on Tuesdays, corresponding with overnight developments in the United States, while significant negative returns are observed on Mondays in the A stock markets. Investment strategies based on some of these calendar anomalies, and allowing for transaction costs, suggest that the A stock markets tend to offer more economically significant returns.We use 9 trading days to prevent any overlap for those months that have fewer than 20 trading days. ... Another interesting item is that up until the year 2000 only the Shenzhen B stock share market was closed for Easter and Christmas, anbsp;...

Title:Seasonalities in China's Stock Markets
Author:Mr. Jason D. Mitchell, Ms. Li L. Ong
Publisher:International Monetary Fund - 2006-01-01


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