Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk

Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk

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Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI), this book has grown to become organised and presented rather more as a textbook than as a standard qcollection of proceedingsq. This therefore is the first unified reference a€˜textbooka€™ in seasonal to interannual climate predictions and their practical uses. Written by some of the worlda€™s leading experts, the book covers a rapidly-developing science of prime social concern.Note that no such allowance for model imperfection exists in the standard 4D-Var assimilation at the major NWP centres. The KF requires not only a linear prognostic equation for the state vector but also requires that an explicit prediction be made ... The mathematical detail of the standard KF is given in the appendix, but even without the detail several of the drawbacks of the method can be easily seen.

Title:Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk
Author:Alberto Troccoli, Mike Harrison, David L.T. Anderson, Simon J. Mason
Publisher:Springer Science & Business Media - 2008-01-29


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