Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales

Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales

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This volume reflects the current state of scientific knowledge about natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales. It covers a wide range of relevant subjects, including the characteristics of the atmosphere and ocean environments as well as the methods used to describe and analyze them, such as proxy data and numerical models. They clearly demonstrate the range, persistence, and magnitude of climate variability as represented by many different indicators. Not only do natural climate variations have important socioeconomic effects, but they must be better understood before possible anthropogenic effects (from greenhouse gas emissions, for instance) can be evaluated. A topical essay introduces each of the disciplines represented, providing the nonscientist with a perspective on the field and linking the papers to the larger issues in climate research. In its conclusions section, the book evaluates progress in the different areas and makes recommendations for the direction and conduct of future climate research. This book, while consisting of technical papers, is also accessible to the interested layperson.If this rate of global warming were to actually occur, the effects on earth ecosystems could be dramatic, perhaps catastrophic. ... the climate change that can be expected by the end of the next century is at most twice the maximum rates observed since the last ice age. ... PROXY INDICATORS OF CLIMATE: AN ESSAY 572 MAXIMUM RATES OF PROJECTED AND ACTUAL INCREASES IN GLOBAL MEANanbsp;...

Title:Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales
Author:Climate Research Committee, Commission on Geosciences, Environment and Resources, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council
Publisher:National Academies Press - 1996-09-13


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