Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment

Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment

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Expert judgment is invaluable for assessing products, systems, and situations for which measurements or test results are sparse or nonexistent. Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment, with special attention given to helping the reader develop elicitation methods and tools adaptable to a variety of unique situations and work areas. The analysis procedures presented in the book may require a basic understanding of statistics and probabilities, but the authors have provided detailed explanations of the techniques used and have taken special care to define all statistical jargon. Originally published in 1991, this book is designed so that those familiar with the use of expert judgment can quickly find the material appropriate for their advanced background.Using Monte Carlo Simulation Monte Carlo simulation works well aggregating empirical distributions of experts as demonstrated in the previous section. Additional ... Many applications use a tree diagram to structure the parts. Decisionanbsp;...

Title:Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment
Author:Mary A. Meyer, Jane M. Booker
Publisher:SIAM - 2001-01


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